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Uncertainty Quantification at Heriot Watt
Researchers at Heriot-Watt University have been using streamline simulation to help quantify uncertainty in predictions of reservoir performance.
Prof. Mike Christie and his team have set up an example problem based on the 10th SPE comparative solution project. They are using this example to test and develop uncertainty quantification techniques.
Using 64 processors on their Beowulf cluster, they are able to generate one 3DSL simulation per second. An uncertainty quantification run that used to take nearly 10 hours (such as the one shown in the figure below) now takes as little as 8 minutes. Mike Christie said "We are now able to run 80,000 simulations per day. This really helps to quantify uncertainty for problems with many uncertain inputs."